Explaining Lieberman
Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 08:39:45 AM PDT
(Remembering that an explanation is not an excuse.)
Joe fanatically supports Bush's war because he believes that "victory" in Iraq would create an Iraqi puppet state under American control, and such a state would never threaten Israel.
Remember that Israel's fear of Iraq and its leader caused them to bomb the almost-completed Osirik nuclear reactor in 1981, and Hussein lobbed possibly chemical-tipped missiles into Israeli cities during the first Gulf War in 1991. Israel has had real and immediate reason to fear the lifting of sanctions on Saddam.
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Because of his concern for Israel's security, Joe probably found PNAC's Middle East fantasy virtually irresistable: imagine an American "colony" in the center of the hotbed, not only replacing the genuinely scary Saddam, but pumping out a secure oil supply -- and not just for the US, but for Israel too! MMmmm! A dream come true!
So Lieberman will never abandon Bush and his "stay the course" philosophy. Joe and a good chunk of his constituency still desperately hope that Bush will be able to set up those big fat Permanent Bases and keep the crazy anti-Israel Iraqis under American control...somehow. The alternative, in their minds, is an ungoverned, endemically hostile Arab country to the east, in constant civil turmoil, with leaders or would-be leaders who will use the usual scapegoat to unite their followers and distract the people from their domestic failures.
(Note: This is not to say that Joe is putting the security of Israel ahead of American interests, any more than Clinton put the security of Kosovo ahead of American interests. There are many good realpolitik reasons to maintain Israel as a safely democratic ally in the Middle East, even before any emotional, cultural, historical and spiritual considerations.)
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